Livestock Wx

News

Forage Production in 2020, A Mixed Bag

Livestock Wx The latest forage production outlook was released last week from USDA and its partners.  The forage outlook, called Grass-Cast, shows three different forage production scenarios for the Great Plains (or at least most of the Plains) that could occur between now and August 31st.  Those scenarios are based on whether we get above, near-average, or below average rainfall for the growing season.  Production is in  “pounds per acre of peak standing biomass”. Grass-Cast is designed to be used with NOAA’s Temperature and Precipitation Seasonal Outlooks.  The latest outlook maps for June-July-August are below.  As you can see the

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News

Reducing the Current Drought: Historically What are the Odds Drought Will Improve this May-June?

Livestock Wx One of the most basic definitions of drought is a deficit of precipitation over an area. Because each location of the world has its own unique climate, we have to consider what’s “normal” for a location to assess if there’s a deficit over a time period. Using county precipitation data, subtracted from the average for the 1981-2010 time period, the map below shows counties with a precipitation deficit greater than half an inch from January through April 2020. Some widespread areas with deficits to note are along the West Coast, the northern High Plains, and along the Gulf

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Analytics

2020 Summer Outlook

Livestock Wx The 2020 Summer Temperature Outlook (Jun-Jul-Aug) is indicating fairly high probabilities of above-normal temperatures for a large part of the U.S.  Parts of the West, states along the Gulf Coast, and the East Coast have a 60-70% chance of seeing hotter than normal temperatures this summer. The largest probabilities (above 70 percent) are centered over the Four Corners region due to forecast models picking up on a reduced precipitation trend in the area and declining soil moisture conditions. Equal Chances of below-, near-, or above-normal temperatures are forecast from the upper to middle Mississippi Valley along with parts

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Analytics

May 1st Beef Cows in Drought

Livestock Wx Given what’s going on with the cattle market and smaller numbers of cattle being placed into feedlots we wanted to also take a slightly different look at beef cows and drought this week.  We usually show the US Drought Monitor, which is a compilation of multiple drought indicators, but given the potential for cattle spending a longer period of time on pasture this year we wanted to focus more on precipitation deficits, and so have used data from the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).  SPI data are used in the Drought Monitor but so are other indicators which might

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15-Day Forecast

[Use your mouse or finger to select your area of interest on the map to see a detailed forecast]

Analytics and Trends

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