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What’s the Real Wildcard in the Summer Forecast?

Ranchers, farmers and others are preparing for a continuation of a largely wetter than normal summer especially in the Plains, and the Rockies.  Just released Thursday, June 20th, the Climate Prediction Center’s latest outlook for July-August-September (JAS) calls for a

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Analytics and Trends

Active Weather

July-August-September Seasonal Outlooks (Updated June 20, 2019)

Temperature Outlook

Precipitation Outlook

Analytics & Interactive Charts​

14-Day Temperature Anomaly Forecast: June 14-June 27

14-Day Accumulated Precipitation (in) Forecast: June 14-June 27




CATTLE DENSITIES & the 14-Day Temperature and Precipitation Forecasts: June 14-June 27

We feel like a broken record but large numbers (scaled circles) of cattle in the Central Plains will continue to see COLDER (blue) and WETTER (green) than normal temperatures through the end of June.  Texas is the one exception and will likely see above-average temperatures.

14-Day Temp-Precip Forecast for the 12 Major Feeder Cattle-Producing States

Texas and Missouri will likely see state-wide average temperatures above-normal over the next two weeks.  The rest of the 12-state area will see below-normal temperatures.  Wyoming and Colorado could see state-wide average departures of 3 degrees F or more below normal.  Oklahoma could see state-wide precipitation totals exceeding 3″.  Kansas, Iowa, and Nebraska could see state-wide average totals between 2-3″.

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Cattle in Drought

The percentage of cattle in drought according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.  Drought is based on Moderate Drought (D1) or greater.  To see a full explanation of the U.S. Drought Monitor categories and how they are determined click here.

Average Cattle Cold Stress from February to March Compared to Cold Stress in 2019

Average cattle cold stress for Feb-Mar (based on the Cattle Comfort Index) compared to what was observed for the Feb-Mar of 2019. Cold conditions extended much further south this winter compared to what normally would be expected for February and March reducing cattle condition and complicating calving.

The Complete Story of Cattle Stress this March: Cold Stress Difference from Normal Against March Total Precipitation.

Counties that had more than 2″ of precipitation during March 2019.  Circles represent counties with greater than 25K head of cattle, blue intensity represents cold stress.  NE, IA, and MN have observed some of the most intense conditions this March.

Other Stories

Recent Weather and El Niño

El Niño’s Progression The El Niño Region 3.4 (region most associated with U.S. weather impacts) sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly was holding steady at a

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Hello world!

Welcome to WordPress. This is your first post. Edit or delete it, then start blogging!

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Drought Trends for June 11, 2019

[Excerpt from the June 11th U.S. Drought Monitor] This U.S. Drought Monitor week saw highly beneficial rainfall activity across drought-stricken areas of the Southeast. Across

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NMME Summer Outlook

July Temperature NMME guidance has just been updated. Model guidance indicates an interesting cooler summer, perhaps reflecting currently-high soil moisture, over Kansas and surrounding states.

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