Major Snow Could Impact Livestock

Heavy Snow Could Impact Livestock

A major spring storm system will produce a wide variety of weather impacts across the North Central U.S. This system will develop Wednesday and move east on Thursday and Friday. 

Weather models are indicating a band of heavy snow on the northern/cold side of this system. Amounts could exceed 10 inches over parts of South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin. 

The following plot shows forecast temperatures for Minneapolis Minnesota through next week. Colder air will be moving in behind this system, however, due to the time of the year, much of the snow will quick melt after falling.

Potential Impacts:

1. Livestock producers within impacted areas should prepare for a wet heavy snowfall.  For example, sheep producers that are lambing could see large impacts.  This storm has the classic look of a lamb killer.

2. Rapidly melting snow will likely result in ponding of water/inundation of fields.

3. Flooding on local tributaries can be expected.

4. It is likely another crest will work down the Upper Mississippi.

Note: it is still quite early, so changes in snowfall amounts and specific-impacted areas are likely to change.

Sheep inventory in the path of Winter Storm Wesley.  All the above counties have a 60% chance of getting 8 inches or more of snow during this storm.

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NMME Long Range Model Guidance Issued

NMME Long-Range Model Outlooks For Spring and Summer

NMME – North American Multi-Model Ensemble – is an average of a number of university and government climate models. NMME guidance has just been updated for the period May – August.  NMME indicated positive growing conditions for many areas across the Central U.S. with hot and drier conditions possible by late summer.  Take a look here for NMME guidance for your area. 

NMME Temperature Outlook For May

NMME Rainfall Outlook For May

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Trend Alert – Changes Ahead!

Trend Alert - Changes Ahead

Spring has been slow to arrive across much of the middle U.S.. The following image of initial leaf bloom indicates where spring has arrived either early (red) or late (blue). Warmer temperatures can be expected this weekend into next week which will accelerate the spring green up. 

However, there are signs of a significant change towards the middle of next week. This pattern will bring colder and wet weather to a large part of the central U.S. that could last well into April. Here are outlooks for the next two weeks. 

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Flood Update

Flood Update

Many cattle-production regions have been impacted by serious flooding this past month. Here is a map showing communities currently being impacted by flooding.  Areas indicated by red (moderate) or purple (major) are experiencing the most significant flood impacts.

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Trend Alert – Warmer Temperatures

Trend Alert - Warmer Weather Ahead

Just a heads up.  After a multi-day cold snap this weekend into early next week, it looks like a sustained warm-up is ahead that will set in later in the week and continue through most of next week. Note the temperature outlook for the next 14 days. Areas shaded in brown are expected to receive above normal temperatures.  

The spring green up has been late to arrive within areas shaded in blue (below). However, with warmer temperatures around the corner, many spots will experience the first signs of spring over the next 10 days. 

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Spring Arrives – Or Not!

Spring Arrives, Or Not

Heads Up! Weather models are showing big changes ahead later this weekend into next week. For those weary of winter and anxiously waiting for sustained warmer weather, it is not looking good.

Models are showing a big dip in the jet stream (bottom-left) with unusually cold air spreading across the nation. In fact, overnight lows could dip into the teens and 20’s over parts of the middle U.S.(below-right) by early next week. 

I’ll keep an eye on this potential big change with another update later this week. 

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