Dangerous Heat Ahead!

It is looking like a dangerously hot and humid week across a large part of the central and eastern U.S.  Two sources of enhanced low-level moisture will result in unusually-high humidity.   Tropical Moisture Transported Inland Moisture associated with Tropical Depression Barry has already worked into the middle of the nation. In this image (left) […]

NMME Long-Range Model For Summer and Fall

The North American Model Ensemble (NMME) consists of a set of models from government and university sources. This average of models can provide a more accurate clue into future weather trends than just one single model. NMME guidance is suggesting either near or even slightly-below-normal summer temperatures for the central U.S. surrounded by above-normal readings […]

T.S. Barry – Significant Water Impacts

T.S. Barry is moving north at 5 mph. Wave and wind action is being reported along the North Gulf Coast. Barry will move inland this weekend with a significant storm surge moving up the far Lower Mississippi River. Heavy rainfall is likely this weekend into next week across parts of the South Central U.S. as […]

Tropical Storm Barry

Tropical Storm Barry T.S. Barry is forecast to move northwest eventually reaching to North Central Gulf coast this weekend. Variety of Impacts Barry will provide a variety of impacts, including storm surge, gusty winds and a lot of rain. Heavy rain will extend from the coast well inland. Share on facebook Share on google Share […]

June 2019 – Unusually Wet

On Cool Side Middle U.S. The June contiguous U.S. temperature was 68.7°F, 0.2°F above the 20th-century average, ranking in the middle third of the 125-year record. Temperature Departure from Normal Green/Blue = Colder than Normal Brown = Milder than Normal Not Too Hot With the exception of Florida, there were not many states reporting above-normal […]

Hot Weather Ahead!

High Heat Advisories Heat Advisories (red) or warnings (purple) are in effect today across a large parts of the central U.S. Heat Index Above 100 Degrees Heat Index readings could reach between 105 and 110 degrees over parts of the South Central U.S. today. And More Hot Weather Ahead While there could be a temporary […]

High Heat – Watching Tropics

High Heat and Humidity Heat Index values will reach above 105 degrees today and tomorrow over a large part of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley. Watching The Gulf Region Meanwhile, this morning, there are early signs of a weak circulation south of Apalachee Bay. However, not much development is expected until later […]

Possible North Gulf Tropical Development

While there might be minimal impact to livestock-production regions, you might find the following interesting.  Warm Water The water within the northeastern Gulf of Mexico is unusually warm — near or above 86 degrees. Possible Development As we progress through the week, a broad area of low pressure over Georgia is expected to drift into […]

July: Beginning of the End for Severe Weather Season. Where do we stand for 2019?

As we head into July, the “primary” severe weather season starts to diminish. The reason is that a key driver of atmospheric energy and severe storms, the jet stream, tends to weaken and shift northward.  The focus for severe weather also tends to shift further north along with the jet stream, across the Northern Plains […]

Hottest Day of Summer – But Changes Ahead

From a climatological perspective, it’s the warmest time of the year for many parts of the nation. Right Now High levels of low-level moisture are combining with hot temperatures to produce heat index levels in the mid 90’s to over 100 degrees today. Jet Stream Change It’s looking like there will be a change in […]