Livestock Wx

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Tropical Storm Hanna on its Way to South Texas; Monsoonal Flow Kicking In; and the Status of Soil Moisture

Livestock Wx As of this writing, Tropical Storm Hanna is expected to bring tropical-storm-force winds this morning (Saturday, July 25th) to parts of the Texas coast. Rainfall associated with Hanna could result in flash flooding across South Texas today and into Sunday. The below map show the 1-3 Day expected rainfall totals from Hanna.  Note parts of South Texas could see totals of 10″ or more. Flash flooding is also possible across the Southwest into Southern and Central Rockies, as well as the Central Plains into the Midwest over the next two days.  We are starting to see some monsoonal

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Analytics

Aug-Sep-Oct Seasonal Outlooks from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble and Evaporative Demand Forecast

Livestock Wx Note: The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) is an experimental multi-model seasonal forecasting system consisting of forecast models from several US modeling centers along with Canada’s Meteorological Centre. The latest outlooks for temperature and precipitation were released from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble this week.  The Outlooks include the monthly forecast for August as well as the seasonal forecast for Aug-Sep-Oct. This month we also have included an evaporative demand forecast that is being produced by NOAA’s Physical Sciences Center.  The forecast is part of a relatively new drought index called the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI-pronounced Eddie). 

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Analytics

Latest Monthly and Seasonal Outlooks from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble Forecast

Livestock Wx Note: The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) is an experimental multi-model seasonal forecasting system consisting of forecast models from several US modeling centers along with Canada’s Meteorological Centre. The latest outlooks for temperature and precipitation were released from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble this week.  The Outlooks include the monthly forecast for July as well as the seasonal forecast for Jul-Aug-Sep. The monthly outlook maps are below.  For temperature, a warmer than normal July is expected for a large part of the country.  The odds are particularly good (70% or above) for parts of the Southwest. July precipitation,

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