NMME model guidance consists of an ensemble, or average, of numerous government and university climate models.
NMME guidance has just been updated. No doubt about it, NMME temperature guidance calls for above-normal readings through the rest of the year. However, more modest readings (closer to normal) could persist over the middle of the nation in October.
This could result in a later than normal fall freeze/frost allowing for a longer-than-normal growing season.
Oct-Nov-Dec Temperature Outlook
Orange/Brown = Above normal temperatures expected Unshaded = Equal chances above, below, or normal temperatures Blue = Below normal temperatures
October Temperature Outlook
November Temperature Outlook
December Temperature Outlook
Soil moisture is adequate for planting of winter wheat over a majority of the Plains.
NMME guidance indicates a possible dry tendency in early fall, but overall, soil moisture should be adequate.
One exception could be parts of Oklahoma and much of Texas where existing soil moisture deficits could worsen.
Oct-Nov-Dec Precipitation Outlook
Green = Above normal precipitation Unshaded = Equal chances above, below, or normal precipitation Brown = Below normal precipitation